Superforecasting - The Art and Science of Prediction (Tetlock Philip)(Paperback)

Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out. The problem is, we're not very good at it. In a landmark, twenty-year study, Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson using random guesswork. Tetlock's latest project – an unprecedented, government-funded forecasting tournament involving over a million ind Superforecasting - Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner od authora Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner a nakladatelství za skvělé ceny na e-shopu Martinus.cz
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